MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 14, 2026
Aaron Civale
ATH · P
Change to
Robert Gasser
MIL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Aaron Civale wins 2 (K, W); Robert Gasser wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Civale
91.3
Robert Gasser
92.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
9.2%
Robert Gasser
11.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
17.0%
Robert Gasser
21.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
30.4%
Robert Gasser
28.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
46.3%
Robert Gasser
30.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
9.7%
Robert Gasser
7.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Civale
.347
Robert Gasser
.304
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Civale
3.445.15
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.20
4.77
Robert Gasser
3.445.15
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.73
3.82
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Civale
1.221.54
now 1.47
1.39
Robert Gasser
1.221.54
now 1.43
1.29

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Civale
4058.20
now 39
45
Robert Gasser
4058.20
now 12
36
Winshigher is better
Aaron Civale
.0009.80
now 5
37
Robert Gasser
.0009.80
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellAaron Civale — sell.conf 0.86
Hold · leans buyRobert Gasser — hold.conf 0.60
Tweet