Who's more valuable, rest of season
Trevor Rogers.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Aaron Civale’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
K
▶
ERA
▶
WHIP
▶
◀
W
SV n/a
Trevor Rogers wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Aaron Civale wins 1 (W); SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Civale
91.1
Trevor Rogers
93.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
9.2%
Trevor Rogers
11.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
15.4%
Trevor Rogers
16.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
28.9%
Trevor Rogers
33.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
48.0%
Trevor Rogers
39.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
9.8%
Trevor Rogers
6.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Civale
.360
Trevor Rogers
.326
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Civale
3.147.90
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.20
5.00
Trevor Rogers
3.147.90
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.84
4.28
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Civale
1.321.63
now 1.47
1.40
Trevor Rogers
1.321.63
now 1.56
1.39
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Civale
4087
now 39
68
Trevor Rogers
4087
now 38
73
Winshigher is better
Aaron Civale
.00014.60
now 5
5–11
Trevor Rogers
.00014.60
now 2
2–5
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
SellAaron Civale — sell.conf 0.90
Hold · leans sellTrevor Rogers — hold.conf 0.60