MLB Daily DeltaWeek 13 · June 22, 2026
Aaron Civale
ATH · P
Change to
Portrait of Anthony Kay
Anthony Kay
CWS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Aaron Civale.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and ERA. Anthony Kay’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Aaron Civale wins 2 categories (K, ERA); Anthony Kay wins 0 (none); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Civale
91.1
Anthony Kay
95.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
9.2%
Anthony Kay
9.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
15.4%
Anthony Kay
17.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
28.9%
Anthony Kay
31.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
48.0%
Anthony Kay
39.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
9.8%
Anthony Kay
9.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Civale
.360
Anthony Kay
.363
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Civale
3.245.63
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.20
5.03
Anthony Kay
3.245.63
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.77
5.10
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Civale
1.331.54
now 1.47
1.40
Anthony Kay
1.331.54
now 1.40
1.40

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Civale
4075.40
now 39
65
Anthony Kay
4075.40
now 42
63
Winshigher is better
Aaron Civale
312
now 5
510
Anthony Kay
312
now 5
510

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellAaron Civale — sell.conf 0.90
SellAnthony Kay — sell.conf 0.90
Tweet