MLB Daily DeltaWeek 20 · August 7, 2026
Aaron Civale
CHC · P
Change to
Portrait of Anthony Kay
Anthony Kay
CWS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Aaron Civale wins 1 (ERA); Anthony Kay wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Civale
91.4
Anthony Kay
95.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
9.6%
Anthony Kay
10.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
17.4%
Anthony Kay
18.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
30.8%
Anthony Kay
33.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
45.7%
Anthony Kay
39.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
9.8%
Anthony Kay
8.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Civale
.340
Anthony Kay
.342
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Civale
3.415.04
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.20
4.64
Anthony Kay
3.415.04
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.77
4.68
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Civale
1.311.54
now 1.47
1.39
Anthony Kay
1.311.54
now 1.40
1.38

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Civale
4047.60
now 39
29
Anthony Kay
4047.60
now 42
29
Winshigher is better
Aaron Civale
.8006.20
now 5
25
Anthony Kay
.8006.20
now 5
25

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellAaron Civale — sell.conf 0.80
SellAnthony Kay — sell.conf 0.82
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