MLB Daily DeltaWeek 13 · June 20, 2026
Aaron Civale
ATH · P
Change to
Portrait of Colin Rea
Colin Rea
CHC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Aaron Civale wins 1 (ERA); Colin Rea wins 1 (K); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Civale
91.1
Colin Rea
93.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
9.2%
Colin Rea
9.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
15.4%
Colin Rea
17.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
28.9%
Colin Rea
31.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
48.0%
Colin Rea
42.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
9.8%
Colin Rea
12.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Civale
.360
Colin Rea
.368
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Civale
3.805.59
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.20
5.00
Colin Rea
3.805.59
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.70
5.19
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Civale
1.301.54
now 1.47
1.40
Colin Rea
1.301.54
now 1.37
1.40

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Civale
4086.60
now 39
67
Colin Rea
4086.60
now 49
73
Winshigher is better
Aaron Civale
312
now 5
510
Colin Rea
312
now 5
510

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellAaron Civale — sell.conf 0.90
SellColin Rea — sell.conf 0.90
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