Rest of Season Projection
ColinCategoryMartín
85K ←72
4.78ERA →4.24
1.36WHIP →1.33
6–12W ←4–8
0SV0
Current Season
ColinCategoryMartín
49K ←42
4.70ERA →2.79
1.37WHIP →1.06
5W ←3
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Colin Rea
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.14 +1.04 vs league with no luck excuse
Martín Pérez
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.228 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.32 is 1.53 above the ERA — regression coming
Colin Rea: 85 K / 4.78 ERA. Martín Pérez: 72 K / 4.24 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).