MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Aaron Civale
CHC · P
Change to
Portrait of Jeffrey Springs
Jeffrey Springs
ATH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Aaron Civale.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Jeffrey Springs’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Aaron Civale wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Jeffrey Springs wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Civale
91.5
Jeffrey Springs
91.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
9.7%
Jeffrey Springs
10.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
19.1%
Jeffrey Springs
18.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
31.4%
Jeffrey Springs
30.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
41.7%
Jeffrey Springs
34.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
8.4%
Jeffrey Springs
9.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Civale
.322
Jeffrey Springs
.336
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Civale
3.854.79
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.20
4.28
Jeffrey Springs
3.854.79
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.07
4.57
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Civale
1.081.58
now 1.47
1.35
Jeffrey Springs
1.081.58
now 1.19
1.37

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Civale
4076.20
now 39
9
Jeffrey Springs
4076.20
now 57
12
Winshigher is better
Aaron Civale
.0007
now 5
12
Jeffrey Springs
.0007
now 3
01

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellAaron Civale — hold.conf 0.60
SellJeffrey Springs — sell.conf 0.77
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