MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · June 26, 2026
Aaron Civale
ATH · P
Change to
Kris Bubic
KC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Aaron Civale wins 2 (WHIP, W); Kris Bubic wins 2 (K, ERA); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Civale
91.3
Kris Bubic
91.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
9.3%
Kris Bubic
12.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
16.2%
Kris Bubic
24.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
29.4%
Kris Bubic
28.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
47.2%
Kris Bubic
39.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
10.2%
Kris Bubic
7.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Civale
.354
Kris Bubic
.328
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Civale
3.805.19
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.20
4.88
Kris Bubic
3.805.19
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.11
4.33
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Civale
1.131.57
now 1.47
1.39
Kris Bubic
1.131.57
now 1.23
1.41

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Civale
4085.20
now 39
60
Kris Bubic
4085.20
now 51
72
Winshigher is better
Aaron Civale
.60011.40
now 5
49
Kris Bubic
.60011.40
now 3
36

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellAaron Civale — sell.conf 0.90
Sell HighKris Bubic — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.79
Tweet