MLB Daily DeltaWeek 31 · October 26, 2026
Aaron Civale
CHC · P
Change to
Kris Bubic
LAD · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Aaron Civale wins 1 (WHIP); Kris Bubic wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Civale
91.5
Kris Bubic
91.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
9.6%
Kris Bubic
12.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
18.5%
Kris Bubic
24.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
31.1%
Kris Bubic
29.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
40.2%
Kris Bubic
38.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
8.0%
Kris Bubic
7.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Civale
.320
Kris Bubic
.315
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Civale
3.894.48
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.20
4.26
Kris Bubic
3.894.48
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.11
4.17
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Civale
1.131.57
now 1.47
1.37
Kris Bubic
1.131.57
now 1.23
1.38

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Civale
4071.40
now 39
0
Kris Bubic
4071.40
now 51
0
Winshigher is better
Aaron Civale
.0007
now 5
0–0
Kris Bubic
.0007
now 3
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellAaron Civale — hold.conf 0.60
Sell HighKris Bubic — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.83
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