MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Aaron Civale
CHC · P
Change to
Kris Bubic
LAD · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Aaron Civale.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Kris Bubic’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Aaron Civale wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Kris Bubic wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Civale
91.5
Kris Bubic
91.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
9.7%
Kris Bubic
12.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
19.1%
Kris Bubic
24.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
31.4%
Kris Bubic
28.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
41.7%
Kris Bubic
39.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
8.4%
Kris Bubic
7.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Civale
.322
Kris Bubic
.327
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Civale
3.894.60
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.20
4.28
Kris Bubic
3.894.60
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.11
4.38
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Civale
1.131.57
now 1.47
1.35
Kris Bubic
1.131.57
now 1.23
1.41

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Civale
4067.80
now 39
9
Kris Bubic
4067.80
now 51
12
Winshigher is better
Aaron Civale
.0007
now 5
12
Kris Bubic
.0007
now 3
01

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellAaron Civale — hold.conf 0.60
Sell HighKris Bubic — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.82
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