week 12
this weekSELL
last week—
VS His Norm
- Walk %12.6%—+2.9% ▲vs his ~9.7% career norm
- Strikeout %24.6%—+2.5% ▲vs his ~22.1% career norm
Drivers
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.40 +0.30 vs league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed39.5%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−0.5%vs his norm —
129 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed7.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.2%vs his norm —
129 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.328
lg avg .315 ▲+.013vs his norm —
207 / 200 TBF
xERA4.40
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.30vs his norm —
207 / 200 TBF
ERA4.11
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.01vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
50.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %24.6%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+2.6%vs his norm +2.5% ▲
207 / 70 TBF
Walk %12.6%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+4.6%vs his norm +2.9% ▲
207 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.256
lg avg .295 ▼−.039vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
129 / 800 BIP
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 24.6%→23.4%signal86 K — K% 24.6% (signal) tempered to career ~22.1% → projected 23.4% over ~90 remaining…
xERA 4.40signal4.29 ERA — xERA 4.40 (signal) blended 65% skill / 35% league 4.10 at 50 IP.
BB% 12.6% + contactsignal1.41 WHIP — a 13% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.289 gives a 1.47 skill WHIP, blended 6…
run support + role3-7 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (starter)0 SV — role: starter, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep86 K ROS, 4.29 ERA
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.