MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · July 31, 2026
Portrait of Dustin May
Dustin May
STL · P
Change to
Kris Bubic
KC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Dustin May wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); Kris Bubic wins 2 (K, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Dustin May
96.9
Kris Bubic
91.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Dustin May
10.5%
Kris Bubic
12.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Dustin May
23.1%
Kris Bubic
24.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Dustin May
29.8%
Kris Bubic
28.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Dustin May
46.1%
Kris Bubic
39.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Dustin May
6.5%
Kris Bubic
7.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Dustin May
.306
Kris Bubic
.327
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Dustin May
3.664.83
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.57
3.92
Kris Bubic
3.664.83
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.11
4.38
WHIPlower is better
Dustin May
1.161.48
now 1.30
1.33
Kris Bubic
1.161.48
now 1.23
1.41

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Dustin May
4056.60
now 51
38
Kris Bubic
4056.60
now 51
43
Winshigher is better
Dustin May
.0005.20
now 3
13
Kris Bubic
.0005.20
now 3
24

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowDustin May — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.74
Sell HighKris Bubic — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.82
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