MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 29, 2026
Aaron Civale
CHC · P
Change to
Max Scherzer
TOR · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Aaron Civale wins 1 (WHIP); Max Scherzer wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Civale
91.5
Max Scherzer
92.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
9.6%
Max Scherzer
10.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
18.5%
Max Scherzer
18.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
31.1%
Max Scherzer
32.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
40.2%
Max Scherzer
33.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
8.0%
Max Scherzer
8.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Civale
.320
Max Scherzer
.316
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Civale
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.20
4.26
Max Scherzer
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 10.23
4.19
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Civale
1.231.87
now 1.47
1.37
Max Scherzer
1.231.87
now 1.73
1.38

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Civale
4054.60
now 39
0
Max Scherzer
4054.60
now 14
0
Winshigher is better
Aaron Civale
.0007
now 5
0–0
Max Scherzer
.0007
now 1
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellAaron Civale — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · steadyMax Scherzer — hold.conf 0.60
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