Who's more valuable, rest of season
Max Scherzer.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Aaron Civale’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
K
▶
ERA
▶
WHIP
▶
◀
W
SV n/a
Max Scherzer wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Aaron Civale wins 1 (W); SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Civale
91.4
Max Scherzer
93.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
9.5%
Max Scherzer
8.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
17.6%
Max Scherzer
15.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
30.5%
Max Scherzer
30.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
45.8%
Max Scherzer
36.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
10.0%
Max Scherzer
13.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Civale
.342
Max Scherzer
.373
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Civale
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.20
4.68
Max Scherzer
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 10.23
4.14
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Civale
1.141.90
now 1.47
1.39
Max Scherzer
1.141.90
now 1.73
1.31
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Civale
4049
now 39
31
Max Scherzer
4049
now 14
33
Winshigher is better
Aaron Civale
.0006.60
now 5
2–5
Max Scherzer
.0006.60
now 1
1–2
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
SellAaron Civale — sell.conf 0.82
Hold · wait & seeMax Scherzer — hold.conf 0.50