MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · June 30, 2026
Aaron Civale
ATH · P
Change to
Portrait of Shane Baz
Shane Baz
BAL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Shane Baz.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Shane Baz wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Aaron Civale wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Civale
91.3
Shane Baz
96.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
9.3%
Shane Baz
10.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
15.7%
Shane Baz
19.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
30.3%
Shane Baz
30.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
46.0%
Shane Baz
40.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
9.8%
Shane Baz
8.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Civale
.353
Shane Baz
.330
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Civale
3.935.14
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.20
4.87
Shane Baz
3.935.14
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.48
4.39
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Civale
1.311.54
now 1.47
1.39
Shane Baz
1.311.54
now 1.43
1.38

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Civale
4085.20
now 39
57
Shane Baz
4085.20
now 57
72
Winshigher is better
Aaron Civale
.00011.80
now 5
49
Shane Baz
.00011.80
now 2
23

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellAaron Civale — sell.conf 0.90
SellShane Baz — sell.conf 0.68
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