MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Andrew Painter
Andrew Painter
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Shane Baz
Shane Baz
BAL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Andrew Painter wins 1 (WHIP); Shane Baz wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Andrew Painter
96.6
Shane Baz
95.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Andrew Painter
12.6%
Shane Baz
10.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Andrew Painter
20.8%
Shane Baz
20.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Andrew Painter
33.8%
Shane Baz
29.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Andrew Painter
35.1%
Shane Baz
41.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Andrew Painter
8.1%
Shane Baz
6.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Andrew Painter
.322
Shane Baz
.317
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Andrew Painter
3.586.36
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.74
4.30
Shane Baz
3.586.36
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.48
4.20
WHIPlower is better
Andrew Painter
1.301.59
now 1.52
1.37
Shane Baz
1.301.59
now 1.43
1.38

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Andrew Painter
4079.80
now 43
0
Shane Baz
4079.80
now 57
0
Winshigher is better
Andrew Painter
.0002.80
now 1
0–0
Shane Baz
.0002.80
now 2
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellAndrew Painter — sell.conf 0.64
Hold · leans sellShane Baz — hold.conf 0.60
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