week 10
this weekBUY-LOW
last weekBUY-LOW
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Andrew Painter
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10
Painter is a buy-low — ERA is BABIP gas, not skill.
ERA ugly but the underlying skill is fine and the BABIP-against is unsustainable. Buy low.
Buy Low
high0.90
Drivers
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.337 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed36.8%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−3.2%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL174 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed9.2%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.2%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL174 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.340
lg avg .315 ▲+.025trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL236 / 200 TBF
xERA4.71
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.61trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL236 / 200 TBF
ERA5.74
lg avg 4.10 ▲+1.64too early to trust
NOISE53.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %18.2%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−3.8%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL236 / 70 TBF
Walk %7.2%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.8%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL236 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.337
lg avg .295 ▲+.042too early to trust
NOISE174 / 800 BIP