PHI

xERA 3.19 with 27% K-BB, unlucky .334 BABIP.

xwOBA .391 with elite hard-hit and barrel rates.

53% hard-hit, 19% barrel — elite pop, ignore the Ks.

ERA 5.68 but xERA 4.16 — 1.5 runs of bad luck.

BABIP .444 inflates ERA 6.82; xERA 3.71.

xERA 2.96 despite .331 BABIP — buy the velo jump.

BABIP 70 points below league; xwOBA says .340 hitter.

ERA 2.13 but xERA 2.63 — 0.50 run gap from .239 BABIP.

BABIP-against .222 — regression incoming.

0.9% barrel rate — pop simply isn't there.

xwOBA .290, his worst since 2019.

Strikes out 32% despite elite 92 mph exit velo.

Barrel rate 5.2% craters a league-average exit velo.