259 PA · week 17
this weekSELL
last weekSELL
Adolis García
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
ON THE 60-DAY IL
Sell stable xwOBA 0.294 below league with no luck excuse; strikeout rate 32% is stable and high, caps the floor; move on.med 0.59 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 5AVG .210R 14RBI 12SB 2
García is a sell — the skill has slipped below league.
Stable skill below league and not unlucky. Sell.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %9.3%—−4.1% ▼vs his ~13.4% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.294 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo92.1 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+3.1 mphvs his norm —
150 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %48.0%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+8.0%vs his norm —
150 / 50 BBE
Barrel %9.3%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.3%vs his norm −4.1% ▼
150 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.294
lg avg .315 ▼−.021vs his norm —
259 / 160 PA
wOBA.268
lg avg .315 ▼−.047vs his norm —
259 / 200 PA
Strikeout %32.4%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+10.4%vs his norm —
259 / 60 PA
Walk %8.1%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−0.4%vs his norm —
259 / 120 PA
BABIP.266
lg avg .295 ▼−.029vs his norm −.007 ▼BABIP is below his ~.273 norm — expect it to rise.
150 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %15.7%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+4.7%vs his norm —
259 / 50 PA
Chase %29.8%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+1.3%vs his norm —
259 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 9.3%→11.6%signal5 HR — Barrel% 9.3% (signal) lifted to career ~13.4% → projected 11.6%.
BABIP 0.266→0.292 regressednoise.210 AVG — BABIP 0.266 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.298 (xBA 0.220) → 0.292.
on-base + lineup14 R — his run rate over ~188 projected PA.
slugging + lineup12 RBI — his RBI rate over ~188 projected PA.
run rate / role2 SB — his steal rate (2 in 58 G) over ~188 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.