65 PA · week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekNO CALL
Garrett Stubbs
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
new call as of October 26, 2026
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.209); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSAVG .000HR 0R 0RBI 0SB 0
Stubbs is a hold — too little data to call it either way.
ROS projects AVG .235 YTD → .000 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.209)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo85.3 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−3.7 mphvs his norm —Avg Exit Velo is below the ~89.0 mph league average — expect it to rise.
45 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %24.4%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−15.6%vs his norm —Hard-Hit % is below the ~40.0% league average — expect it to rise.
45 / 50 BBE
Barrel %0.0%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−8.0%vs his norm 0.0% Barrel % is below his ~0.0% norm — expect it to rise.
45 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.209
lg avg .315 ▼−.106vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
65 / 160 PA
wOBA.178
lg avg .315 ▼−.137vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
65 / 200 PA
Strikeout %23.1%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+1.1%vs his norm —
65 / 60 PA
Walk %4.6%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−3.9%vs his norm —Walk % is below the ~8.5% league average — expect it to rise.
65 / 120 PA
BABIP.200
lg avg .295 ▼−.095vs his norm −.078 ▼BABIP is below his ~.278 norm — expect it to rise.
45 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %11.0%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.0%vs his norm —
65 / 50 PA
Chase %38.0%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+9.5%vs his norm —
65 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 0.0%→0.0%noise0 HR — Barrel% 0.0% (noise) held to career ~0.0% → projected 0.0%.
BABIP 0.200→0.228 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.200 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.230 (xBA 0.177) → 0.228.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 10 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.