MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Engraved portrait of Edmundo Sosa
230 PA · week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Edmundo Sosa

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
Hold · leans buy skill near league average (0.333); a hold that leans buy — skill sits a hair above league, worth watching.med 0.60
ROSHR 0AVG .252R 4RBI 6SB 1

Sosa is a hold — his expected numbers say average, nothing more.

His expected wOBA is .333, which is .018 above the league average of .315, and he has enough plate appearances for the number to be reliable. The problem is his swing decisions. He chases 52.7% of pitches outside the zone against a league average of 28.5%, and his swinging-strike rate is 16.6% against a league average of 11.0%. Those two numbers would normally sink a hitter. His actual wOBA is .294, dragged below his expected mark. His contact quality is right at league average, and his expected wOBA has stepped up across the sample. There is no luck story here, no metric flagging regression in either direction. He is what the numbers say: an average bat with a real approach problem. Hold. A 0 HR / 4 R / 6 RBI / 1 SB line makes him a drop-tier streamer only — hold without expecting the counting stats to arrive.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %7.2%+0.0%vs his ~7.2% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.333)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.7 mph
87.7 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph −1.3 mphvs his norm —
167 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %39.5%
39.5%*
lg avg 40.0% −0.5%vs his norm —
167 / 50 BBE
Barrel %7.2%
norm7.2%*
lg avg 8.0% −0.8%vs his norm +0.0%
167 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.333
believable since Jul 13.333*
lg avg .315 +.018vs his norm —
230 / 160 PA
wOBA.294
.294*
lg avg .315 −.021vs his norm —
230 / 200 PA
Strikeout %20.9%
20.9%*
lg avg 22.0% −1.1%vs his norm —
230 / 60 PA
Walk %3.0%
3.0%*
lg avg 8.5% −5.5%vs his norm —
230 / 120 PA
BABIP.270
norm.270*
lg avg .295 −.025vs his norm −.043 BABIP is below his ~.313 normexpect it to rise.
167 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %16.6%
16.6%*
lg avg 11.0% +5.6%vs his norm —
230 / 50 PA
Chase %52.7%
52.7%*
lg avg 28.5% +24.2%vs his norm —
230 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 7.2%→7.2%signal0 HR — Barrel% 7.2% (signal) tempered to career ~7.2% → projected 7.2%.
BABIP 0.270→0.320 regressednoise.252 AVG — BABIP 0.270 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.333 (xBA 0.280) → 0.320.
on-base + lineup4 R — his run rate over ~34 projected PA.
slugging + lineup6 RBI — his RBI rate over ~34 projected PA.
run rate / role1 SB — his steal rate (2 in 33 G) over ~34 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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