Is Bryson Stott a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Buy — stable, above-average metrics signal genuine skill. Good ROS add target.

What is Bryson Stott's rest-of-season outlook?

xwOBA .330 beats contact; 16.4% K rate carries it

608 PA · week 31

this weekBUY

last weekHOLD

Bryson Stott

PHI·2B

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31

flipped from HOLD on October 26, 2026

Buy stable xwOBA 0.330, +0.015 vs league, production is earned; elite, already-stable contact quality; add now.med 0.63

ROSAVG .000HR 0R 0RBI 0SB 0

Stott is a buy — the contact is modest, the on-base skill is real.

His expected wOBA is .330, .015 above the league average of .315, across 608 plate appearances — well past the 160 needed for that number to hold. His actual wOBA is .326, essentially identical, so nothing in his line is being propped up by batted-ball luck. The contact quality is not the story here: his hard-hit rate is 37.7%, below the league's 40%, and it has been stepping down across the sample. What carries the profile is his command of the strike zone. He strikes out 16.4% of the time, more than five points below league, and his swinging-strike rate of 7.8% sits well under the 11% league mark. He puts the ball in play and gets on base, and his expected wOBA has been climbing. That is a repeatable skill. Buy.

VS His Norm

Barrel %5.9%—+1.4% ▲vs his ~4.5% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.330, +0.015 vs league — production is earned
hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo89.4 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+0.4 mphvs his norm —

443 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %37.7%

lg avg 40.0% ▼−2.3%vs his norm —

443 / 50 BBE

Barrel %5.9%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.1%vs his norm +1.4% ▲

443 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.330

lg avg .315 ▲+.015vs his norm —

608 / 160 PA

wOBA.326

lg avg .315 ▲+.011vs his norm —

608 / 200 PA

Strikeout %16.4%

lg avg 22.0% ▼−5.6%vs his norm —

608 / 60 PA

Walk %10.2%

lg avg 8.5% ▲+1.7%vs his norm —

608 / 120 PA

BABIP.296

lg avg .295 ▲+.001vs his norm +.003 ▲BABIP is above his ~.293 norm — expect it to fall.

443 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %7.8%

lg avg 11.0% ▼−3.2%vs his norm —

608 / 50 PA

Chase %30.0%

lg avg 28.5% ▲+1.5%vs his norm —

608 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 5.9%→5.5%signal0 HR — Barrel% 5.9% (signal) tempered to career ~4.5% → projected 5.5%.

BABIP 0.296→0.294 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.296 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.292 (xBA 0.267) → 0.294.

on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.

slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.

run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (10 in 53 G) over ~0 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons