356 PA · week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Bryson Stott
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
Hold · steady skill near league average (0.319); hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60 (narrative held for review)
ROSAVG .247HR 3R 15RBI 24SB 9
Stott is a hold — near league average with no edge.
ROS projects HR 6 YTD → 3 ROS, AVG .217 YTD → .247 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %6.8%—+2.3% ▲vs his ~4.5% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.319)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo89.1 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+0.1 mphvs his norm —
265 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %38.5%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−1.5%vs his norm —
265 / 50 BBE
Barrel %6.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.2%vs his norm +2.3% ▲
265 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.319
lg avg .315 ▲+.004vs his norm —
356 / 160 PA
wOBA.305
lg avg .315 ▼−.010vs his norm —
356 / 200 PA
Strikeout %17.7%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−4.3%vs his norm —
356 / 60 PA
Walk %7.3%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−1.2%vs his norm —
356 / 120 PA
BABIP.285
lg avg .295 ▼−.010vs his norm −.008 ▼BABIP is below his ~.293 norm — expect it to rise.
265 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %7.9%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−3.1%vs his norm —
356 / 50 PA
Chase %32.9%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+4.4%vs his norm —
356 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 6.8%→5.8%signal3 HR — Barrel% 6.8% (signal) tempered to career ~4.5% → projected 5.8%.
BABIP 0.285→0.287 regressednoise.247 AVG — BABIP 0.285 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.287 (xBA 0.263) → 0.287.
on-base + lineup15 R — his run rate over ~181 projected PA.
slugging + lineup24 RBI — his RBI rate over ~181 projected PA.
run rate / role9 SB — his steal rate (10 in 53 G) over ~181 projected PA.
rosterdeeprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.