256 PA · week 10
this weekSELL
last weekSELL
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Trea Turner
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10
Turner is a sell — skill below league, no luck to blame.
His expected wOBA is .289 — .026 below the league average of .315 — and with 256 plate appearances, that number is past the stabilization point. His actual wOBA tracks right with it, so there is no bad-luck story pulling the line down. His barrel rate is 6.0%, well below league, and his walk rate sits at 6.6% versus 8.5% league average. The contact quality metrics are near league average at best. His xwOBA has been stepping down across the sample, confirming the trend is real. This is not a slump; it is the level he is at. Sell.
Sell
med0.60
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.289 below league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo89.9 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+0.9 mphtrustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL183 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %40.4%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+0.4%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL183 / 50 BBE
Barrel %6.0%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.0%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL183 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.289
lg avg .315 ▼−.026trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL256 / 160 PA
wOBA.278
lg avg .315 ▼−.037trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL256 / 200 PA
Strikeout %21.9%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−0.1%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL256 / 60 PA
Walk %6.6%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−1.9%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL256 / 120 PA
BABIP.261
lg avg .295 ▼−.034too early to trust
NOISE183 / 800 BIP