623 PA · week 25
this weekSELL
last weekSELL
VS His Norm
- Barrel %6.3%—−0.7% ▼vs his ~7.0% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.294 below league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo88.5 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−0.5 mphvs his norm —
446 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %39.9%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−0.1%vs his norm —
446 / 50 BBE
Barrel %6.3%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.7%vs his norm −0.7% ▼
446 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.294
lg avg .315 ▼−.021vs his norm —
623 / 160 PA
wOBA.298
lg avg .315 ▼−.017vs his norm —
623 / 200 PA
Strikeout %21.3%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−0.7%vs his norm —
623 / 60 PA
Walk %6.4%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−2.1%vs his norm —
623 / 120 PA
BABIP.283
lg avg .295 ▼−.012vs his norm −.047 ▼BABIP is below his ~.330 norm — expect it to rise.
446 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %13.8%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+2.8%vs his norm —
623 / 50 PA
Chase %34.4%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+5.9%vs his norm —
623 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 6.3%→6.5%signal1 HR — Barrel% 6.3% (signal) lifted to career ~7.0% → projected 6.5%.
BABIP 0.283→0.283 regressednoise.226 AVG — BABIP 0.283 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.284 (xBA 0.243) → 0.283.
on-base + lineup6 R — his run rate over ~44 projected PA.
slugging + lineup3 RBI — his RBI rate over ~44 projected PA.
run rate / role2 SB — his steal rate (11 in 58 G) over ~44 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.