Rest of Season Projection
BrayanCategoryTrea
5HR →9
43R →51
45RBI ←29
15SB →17
.257AVG ←.230
Current Season
BrayanCategoryTrea
4HR →7
26R →34
27RBI ←19
9SB →11
.293AVG ←.223
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brayan Rocchio
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.323 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.320 is 0.036 below the surface — regression coming
Trea Turner
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.288 below league with no luck excuse
Brayan Rocchio: 5 HR / 43 R. Trea Turner: 9 HR / 51 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).