Rest of Season Projection
BrayanCategoryDansby
4HR →11
42R →53
43RBI ←42
14SB ←8
.252AVG ←.193
Current Season
BrayanCategoryDansby
4HR →7
26R →34
27RBI27
9SB ←5
.293AVG ←.183
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brayan Rocchio
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.317 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.315 is 0.034 below the surface — regression coming
Dansby Swanson
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.297 below league with no luck excuse
Brayan Rocchio: 4 HR / 42 R. Dansby Swanson: 11 HR / 53 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).