Rest of Season Projection
BrayanCategoryCorey
4HR →15
42R ←40
43RBI ←37
14SB ←2
.252AVG ←.214
Current Season
BrayanCategoryCorey
4HR →7
26R ←22
27RBI ←20
9SB ←1
.293AVG ←.179
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brayan Rocchio
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.317 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.315 is 0.034 below the surface — regression coming
Corey Seager
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.208 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Brayan Rocchio: 4 HR / 42 R. Corey Seager: 15 HR / 40 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).