182 PA · week 11
this weekBUY-LOW
last week—
————————
Corey Seager
data as of June 5, 2026·week 11
Seager is a buy-low — the slump is BABIP, not the bat.
His contact quality is stepping up across the sample: hard-hit rate at 45.4%, average exit velocity 91.1 mph, and barrel rate 15.7% — all above league and past their stabilization thresholds. His expected wOBA is .330, 15 points above league average, and that number is reliable after 182 plate appearances. Yet his actual wOBA sits at .284, dragged down by a BABIP of .208, 87 points below the league average of .295. BABIP needs around 800 balls in play to be reliable; he has 108. That gap is luck, not decline. A 27.5% strikeout rate is a mild concern, but the underlying skill is intact and the bounces are due to correct. Buy low.
Buy Low
med0.69
Drivers
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.208 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo91.1 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+2.1 mphtrustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL108 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %45.4%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+5.4%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL108 / 50 BBE
Barrel %15.7%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+7.7%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL108 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.330
lg avg .315 ▲+.015trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL182 / 160 PA
wOBA.284
lg avg .315 ▼−.031too early to trust
NOISE182 / 200 PA
Strikeout %27.5%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+5.5%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL182 / 60 PA
Walk %12.1%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+3.6%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL182 / 120 PA
BABIP.208
lg avg .295 ▼−.087too early to trust
NOISE108 / 800 BIP