Rest of Season Projection
CoreyCategoryElly
14HR ←12
36R →52
33RBI →48
2SB →13
.220AVG →.254
Current Season
CoreyCategoryElly
7HR →12
22R →40
20RBI →37
1SB →10
.179AVG →.280
What Each Player's System Trusts
Corey Seager
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.207 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Elly De La Cruz
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.362, +0.047 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.366 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Corey Seager: 14 HR / 37 R. Elly De La Cruz: 12 HR / 53 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).