Rest of Season Projection
DansbyCategoryElly
9HR →12
47R →52
38RBI →48
7SB →13
.191AVG →.254
Current Season
DansbyCategoryElly
7HR →12
34R →40
27RBI →37
5SB →10
.183AVG →.280
What Each Player's System Trusts
Dansby Swanson
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.288 below league with no luck excuse
Elly De La Cruz
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.362, +0.047 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.366 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Dansby Swanson: 9 HR / 48 R. Elly De La Cruz: 12 HR / 53 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).