Rest of Season Projection
EllyCategoryTrea
12HR ←7
52R ←44
48RBI ←25
13SB →14
.254AVG ←.229
Current Season
EllyCategoryTrea
12HR ←7
40R ←34
37RBI ←19
10SB →11
.280AVG ←.223
What Each Player's System Trusts
Elly De La Cruz
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.362, +0.047 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.366 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Trea Turner
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.286 below league with no luck excuse
De La Cruz outpaces Turner 12 HR to 8 and 53 R to 45. The SB gap is narrow (13-15). Verdicts diverge; the HR/R edge makes De La Cruz the acquisition.