MLB Daily DeltaWeek 31 · October 26, 2026
Engraved portrait of Alec Bohm
629 PA · week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekSELL

Alec Bohm

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
flipped from SELL on October 26, 2026
Hold · leans buy skill near league average (0.327); a hold that leans buy — skill sits a hair above league, worth watching.med 0.60
ROSAVG .000HR 0R 0RBI 0SB 0

Bohm is a hold — league-average skill, nothing unstable underneath.

His expected wOBA is .327, twelve points above the league average of .315, and it has climbed across the sample — the trajectory is stepping up, not flat. His actual wOBA is .309, so the surface is running slightly behind the skill, not ahead of it. There is no luck driver either way. He strikes out just 14% of the time and swings through only 7.6% of pitches, both well below league, which gives the batting average a soft floor. The one real gap is power: 6.0% barrels against a league average of 8.0%, even though his exit velocity and hard-hit rate sit slightly above league. That is a contact-over-power profile, not a breakout. Keep him and take the stable at-bats. Hold.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %6.0%—−0.2% ▼vs his ~6.2% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.327)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo90.6 mph
90.6 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+1.6 mphvs his norm —
484 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %43.8%
43.8%*
lg avg 40.0% ▲+3.8%vs his norm —
484 / 50 BBE
Barrel %6.0%
norm6.0%*
lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.0%vs his norm −0.2% ▼
484 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.327
.327*
lg avg .315 ▲+.012vs his norm —
629 / 160 PA
wOBA.309
believable since May 25.309*
lg avg .315 ▼−.006vs his norm —
629 / 200 PA
Strikeout %14.0%
14.0%*
lg avg 22.0% ▼−8.0%vs his norm —
629 / 60 PA
Walk %7.6%
7.6%*
lg avg 8.5% ▼−0.9%vs his norm —
629 / 120 PA
BABIP.269
norm.269*
lg avg .295 ▼−.026vs his norm −.038 ▼BABIP is below his ~.307 norm — expect it to rise.
484 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %7.6%
7.6%*
lg avg 11.0% ▼−3.4%vs his norm —
629 / 50 PA
Chase %26.0%
26.0%*
lg avg 28.5% ▼−2.5%vs his norm —
629 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 6.0%→6.1%signal0 HR — Barrel% 6.0% (signal) held to career ~6.2% → projected 6.1%.
BABIP 0.269→0.274 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.269 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.282 (xBA 0.265) → 0.274.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 55 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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