MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Engraved portrait of Alec Bohm
562 PA · week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekSELL

Alec Bohm

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
flipped from SELL on September 10, 2026
Hold · steady skill near league average (0.322); hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60
ROSHR 0AVG .238R 3RBI 5SB 0

Bohm is a hold — average skill, quiet profile, nothing to chase.

His expected wOBA is .322, .007 above the league average of .315, with 562 plate appearances behind it — well past the point where that number becomes reliable. His actual wOBA is .307, a hair below league, and his contact quality splits the difference between the two: above-average exit velocity at 90.5 mph and a 43.2% hard-hit rate, offset by a 6.0% barrel rate below the 8.0% league mark. That is a hitter who sprays line drives and does not drive the ball out of the park. The one thread worth tracking is direction: his expected wOBA has been stepping up across the sample. His strikeout rate sits at 14.8%, the skill profile is average and stable, and there is no BABIP problem pushing either way. Hold. With 0 HR / 3 R / 5 RBI / 0 SB / .238 AVG rest of season, this is a drag — hold only as drop-tier rotational filler.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %6.0%−0.2%vs his ~6.2% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.322)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo90.5 mph
90.5 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph +1.5 mphvs his norm —
431 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %43.2%
43.2%*
lg avg 40.0% +3.2%vs his norm —
431 / 50 BBE
Barrel %6.0%
norm6.0%*
lg avg 8.0% −2.0%vs his norm −0.2%
431 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.322
.322*
lg avg .315 +.007vs his norm —
562 / 160 PA
wOBA.307
believable since May 25.307*
lg avg .315 −.008vs his norm —
562 / 200 PA
Strikeout %14.8%
14.8%*
lg avg 22.0% −7.2%vs his norm —
562 / 60 PA
Walk %6.9%
6.9%*
lg avg 8.5% −1.6%vs his norm —
562 / 120 PA
BABIP.264
norm.264*
lg avg .295 −.031vs his norm −.043 BABIP is below his ~.307 normexpect it to rise.
431 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %7.8%
7.8%*
lg avg 11.0% −3.2%vs his norm —
562 / 50 PA
Chase %26.3%
26.3%*
lg avg 28.5% −2.2%vs his norm —
562 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 6.0%→6.1%signal0 HR — Barrel% 6.0% (signal) held to career ~6.2% → projected 6.1%.
BABIP 0.264→0.269 regressednoise.238 AVG — BABIP 0.264 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.276 (xBA 0.260) → 0.269.
on-base + lineup3 R — his run rate over ~42 projected PA.
slugging + lineup5 RBI — his RBI rate over ~42 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 55 G) over ~42 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

Tweet
Compare with

Comparisons

head-to-head matchups