week 31
this weekBUY-LOW
last weekBUY-LOW
Tanner Banks
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
Buy Low fastball velocity stable and above league, the arm is fine — luck-free xERA 4.21 is right around league, a usable arm the ERA is hiding; BABIP-against 0.389 elevated and unstable, bloating the ERA; buy the player, not the number.high 0.90 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 0WHIP 1.24ERA 3.71W 0–0SV 0
Banks is a buy-low — his 6.19 ERA is BABIP noise, not skill
ERA ugly, but the skill it regresses to is league-or-better and the BABIP-against is unsustainable. Buy low.
VS His Norm
- Walk %8.5%—+1.4% ▲vs his ~7.1% career norm
- Strikeout %21.6%—−1.2% ▼vs his ~22.8% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.21 is right around league — a usable arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.389 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
- p_fastball_veloSIGNALfastball velocity stable and above league — the arm is fine
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed33.6%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−6.4%vs his norm —
122 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed6.6%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.4%vs his norm —
122 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.315
lg avg .315 .000vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
176 / 200 TBF
xERA4.21
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.11vs his norm —xERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
176 / 200 TBF
ERA6.19
lg avg 4.10 ▲+2.09vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
36.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %21.6%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−0.4%vs his norm −1.2% ▼
176 / 70 TBF
Walk %8.5%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.5%vs his norm +1.4% ▲
176 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.389
lg avg .295 ▲+.094vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
122 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %11.2%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.2%vs his norm —
176 / 60 TBF
Chase %31.3%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+2.8%vs his norm —
176 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo92.0 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▼−2.0 mphvs his norm —
669 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 21.6%→22.2%signal0 K — K% 21.6% (signal) lifted to career ~22.8% → projected 22.2% over ~0 remaining IP.
xERA 4.21noise3.71 ERA — xERA 4.21 (noise) blended 1% skill / 99% league 3.70 at 21 IP.
BB% 8.5% + contactsignal1.24 WHIP — a 8% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.309 gives a 1.43 skill WHIP, blended 1%…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (middle)0 SV — role: middle, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.71 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.