week 10
this weekBUY-LOW
last weekBUY-LOW
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Tanner Banks
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10
Banks is a buy-low — ERA is BABIP noise, not skill.
His ERA is 6.75, and that number is doing him dirty. His BABIP-against is .451, 156 points above the league average of .295. BABIP-against needs around 800 balls in play to be reliable, and he has 72 — that gap is luck, not skill. Strip out the noise and his expected ERA is 3.73, three runs lower than what the box score shows. He allows a barrel rate of just 2.8% against a league average of 8.0%, and his hard-hit rate allowed is 31.9% versus 40.0% — both well below league and stable at 72 batted ball events. He strikes out 23.1% of batters, above the league average of 22.0%. Limited data, but the underlying metrics point the same direction. Buy low.
Buy Low
high0.90
Drivers
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.451 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed31.9%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−8.1%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL72 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed2.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−5.2%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL72 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.306
lg avg .315 ▼−.009too early to trust
NOISE108 / 200 TBF
xERA3.73
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.37too early to trust
NOISE108 / 200 TBF
ERA6.75
lg avg 4.10 ▲+2.65too early to trust
NOISE21.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %23.1%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+1.1%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL108 / 70 TBF
Walk %10.2%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+2.2%too early to trust
NOISE108 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.451
lg avg .295 ▲+.156too early to trust
NOISE72 / 800 BIP