week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Brooks Raley
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
Hold · steady skill near league average (3.98); hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 0ERA 3.88WHIP 1.32W 0–0SV 0
Raley is a hold — league-average skill, nothing unstable underneath.
ROS projects K 26 YTD → 0 ROS, ERA 1.61 YTD → 3.88 ROS, WHIP 1.25 YTD → 1.32 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %22.8%—−3.8% ▼vs his ~26.6% career norm
- Walk %8.9%—+0.1% ▲vs his ~8.8% career norm
Drivers
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (3.98)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed32.0%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−8.0%vs his norm —
150 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed6.7%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.3%vs his norm —
150 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.307
lg avg .315 ▼−.008vs his norm —
224 / 200 TBF
xERA3.98
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.12vs his norm —
224 / 200 TBF
ERA3.25
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.85vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
52.7 / 200 IP
Strikeout %22.8%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+0.8%vs his norm −3.8% ▼
224 / 70 TBF
Walk %8.9%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.9%vs his norm +0.1% ▲
224 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.289
lg avg .295 ▼−.006vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
150 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %10.9%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−0.1%vs his norm —
224 / 60 TBF
Chase %31.0%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+2.5%vs his norm —
224 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo90.3 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▼−3.7 mphvs his norm —
842 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 22.8%→24.6%signal0 K — K% 22.8% (signal) lifted to career ~26.6% → projected 24.6% over ~0 remaining IP.
xERA 3.98signal3.88 ERA — xERA 3.98 (signal) blended 65% skill / 35% league 3.70 at 22 IP.
BB% 8.9% + contactsignal1.32 WHIP — a 9% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.294 gives a 1.36 skill WHIP, blended 65…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (setup)0 SV — role: setup, not in the save mix.
rosterdrop3.88 ERA, 1.32 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.