182 PA · week 10
this weekSELL
last weekSELL
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Justin Crawford
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10
Crawford is a sell — the bat is clearly below league.
His expected wOBA is .271, .044 below the league average of .315, and the sample is past the point where that number becomes reliable. The underlying contact quality is worse than the surface suggests: a barrel rate of 1.5% is far below the 8% league average, and his exit velocity and hard-hit rate are both below league as well. His actual wOBA tracks close to his xwOBA, so there is no unlucky BABIP or bad luck story to point to. This is just a bat that does not produce enough damage. Sell.
Sell
med0.64
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.271 below league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.8 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.2 mphtrustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL132 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %36.4%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−3.6%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL132 / 50 BBE
Barrel %1.5%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−6.5%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL132 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.271
lg avg .315 ▼−.044trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL182 / 160 PA
wOBA.288
lg avg .315 ▼−.027too early to trust
NOISE182 / 200 PA
Strikeout %19.2%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−2.8%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL182 / 60 PA
Walk %7.1%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−1.4%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL182 / 120 PA
BABIP.285
lg avg .295 ▼−.010too early to trust
NOISE132 / 800 BIP