Rest of Season Projection
JustinCategoryKerry
4HR →10
25R →28
22RBI →44
13SB ←0
.230AVG ←.184
Current Season
JustinCategoryKerry
2HR →7
14R ←12
12RBI →19
7SB ←0
.234AVG →.239
What Each Player's System Trusts
Justin Crawford
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.270 below league with no luck excuse
Kerry Carpenter
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.302)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 34% is stable and high — caps the floor
Justin Crawford: 4 HR / 25 R. Kerry Carpenter: 10 HR / 28 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).