Rest of Season Projection
KerryCategoryNathan
10HR ←3
25R ←23
39RBI ←26
0SB0
.187AVG →.297
Current Season
KerryCategoryNathan
7HR ←0
12R ←8
19RBI ←9
0SB0
.239AVG →.301
What Each Player's System Trusts
Kerry Carpenter
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.306)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Nathan Lukes
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.317)
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.360 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Kerry Carpenter: 10 HR / 25 R. Nathan Lukes: 3 HR / 23 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).