MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 22, 2026
Portrait of Adolis García
Adolis García
PHI · RF
Change to
Portrait of Nathan Lukes
Nathan Lukes
TOR · RF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Nathan Lukes.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — runs, RBI, and average. Adolis García’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Nathan Lukes wins 3 categories (R, RBI, AVG); Adolis García wins 2 (HR, SB).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Adolis García
92.1
Nathan Lukes
86.6
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Adolis García
48.0%
Nathan Lukes
28.9%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Adolis García
9.3%
Nathan Lukes
1.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Adolis García
29.8%
Nathan Lukes
35.1%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Adolis García
15.7%
Nathan Lukes
8.9%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Adolis García
.294
Nathan Lukes
.294
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Adolis García
.200.340
lg AVG .295
now .191
.209
Nathan Lukes
.200.340
lg AVG .295
now .301
.267

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Adolis García
55.60
now 4
4
Nathan Lukes
55.60
now 0
1
Runshigher is better
Adolis García
2020.60
now 17
13
Nathan Lukes
2020.60
now 8
14
RBIhigher is better
Adolis García
2018.20
now 15
12
Nathan Lukes
2018.20
now 9
15
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Adolis García
.0003.20
now 2
2
Nathan Lukes
.0003.20
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
SellAdolis García — sell.conf 0.59
Sell HighNathan Lukes — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.74
Tweet