Who's more valuable, rest of season
Nathan Lukes.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — runs, RBI, and average. Justin Crawford’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
HR
R
▶
RBI
▶
◀
SB
AVG
▶
Nathan Lukes wins 3 categories (R, RBI, AVG); Justin Crawford wins 1 (SB); 1 even.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgAvg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Justin Crawford
86.8
Nathan Lukes
86.2
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Justin Crawford
33.9%
Nathan Lukes
28.1%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Justin Crawford
1.2%
Nathan Lukes
0.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Justin Crawford
39.4%
Nathan Lukes
37.8%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Justin Crawford
10.6%
Nathan Lukes
9.3%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Justin Crawford
.268
Nathan Lukes
.301
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Justin Crawford
.210.330
lg AVG .295
now .234
.234
Nathan Lukes
.210.330
lg AVG .295
now .301
.284
Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Justin Crawford
53.20
now 2
2
Nathan Lukes
53.20
now 0
2
Runshigher is better
Justin Crawford
2024.80
now 14
19
Nathan Lukes
2024.80
now 8
20
RBIhigher is better
Justin Crawford
2028.60
now 12
17
Nathan Lukes
2028.60
now 9
23
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Justin Crawford
.00014
now 7
10
Nathan Lukes
.00014
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
SellJustin Crawford — sell.conf 0.64
Sell HighNathan Lukes — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.64