MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 11, 2026
Portrait of Justin Crawford
Justin Crawford
PHI · CF
Change to
Portrait of Nathan Lukes
Nathan Lukes
TOR · RF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Nathan Lukes.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — RBI and average. Justin Crawford’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Nathan Lukes wins 2 categories (RBI, AVG); Justin Crawford wins 1 (SB); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Justin Crawford
87.4
Nathan Lukes
87.0
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Justin Crawford
36.5%
Nathan Lukes
28.3%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Justin Crawford
1.3%
Nathan Lukes
2.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Justin Crawford
37.7%
Nathan Lukes
34.4%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Justin Crawford
9.8%
Nathan Lukes
8.3%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Justin Crawford
.280
Nathan Lukes
.288
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Justin Crawford
.210.330
lg AVG .295
now .234
.248
Nathan Lukes
.210.330
lg AVG .295
now .301
.255

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Justin Crawford
53.20
now 2
0
Nathan Lukes
53.20
now 0
0
Runshigher is better
Justin Crawford
2018.40
now 14
3
Nathan Lukes
2018.40
now 8
3
RBIhigher is better
Justin Crawford
2016
now 12
2
Nathan Lukes
2016
now 9
4
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Justin Crawford
.0009.80
now 7
1
Nathan Lukes
.0009.80
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
SellJustin Crawford — sell.conf 0.62
SellNathan Lukes — sell.conf 0.60
Tweet