MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Blake Dunn
Blake Dunn
CIN · CF
Change to
Portrait of Nathan Lukes
Nathan Lukes
TOR · RF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Blake Dunn wins 2 (R, SB); Nathan Lukes wins 2 (RBI, AVG); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Blake Dunn
89.2
Nathan Lukes
87.0
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Blake Dunn
30.3%
Nathan Lukes
28.3%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Blake Dunn
2.7%
Nathan Lukes
2.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Blake Dunn
28.7%
Nathan Lukes
34.4%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Blake Dunn
10.9%
Nathan Lukes
8.3%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Blake Dunn
.280
Nathan Lukes
.288
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Blake Dunn
.210.330
lg AVG .295
now .269
.235
Nathan Lukes
.210.330
lg AVG .295
now .301
.255

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Blake Dunn
52.20
now 1
0
Nathan Lukes
52.20
now 0
0
Runshigher is better
Blake Dunn
2013.20
now 10
5
Nathan Lukes
2013.20
now 8
3
RBIhigher is better
Blake Dunn
2012.20
now 2
1
Nathan Lukes
2012.20
now 9
4
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Blake Dunn
.0003.20
now 2
1
Nathan Lukes
.0003.20
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighBlake Dunn — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.65
SellNathan Lukes — sell.conf 0.60
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