MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 9, 2026
Portrait of Blake Dunn
Blake Dunn
CIN · CF
Change to
Portrait of Nathan Lukes
Nathan Lukes
TOR · RF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Blake Dunn.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, runs, and steals.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Blake Dunn wins 3 categories (HR, R, SB); Nathan Lukes wins 2 (RBI, AVG).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Blake Dunn
89.1
Nathan Lukes
86.6
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Blake Dunn
30.3%
Nathan Lukes
27.7%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Blake Dunn
2.7%
Nathan Lukes
1.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Blake Dunn
28.7%
Nathan Lukes
35.2%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Blake Dunn
10.9%
Nathan Lukes
9.3%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Blake Dunn
.280
Nathan Lukes
.298
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Blake Dunn
.210.330
lg AVG .295
now .269
.237
Nathan Lukes
.210.330
lg AVG .295
now .301
.272

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Blake Dunn
53.20
now 1
2
Nathan Lukes
53.20
now 0
1
Runshigher is better
Blake Dunn
2030.40
now 10
24
Nathan Lukes
2030.40
now 8
17
RBIhigher is better
Blake Dunn
2025.80
now 2
5
Nathan Lukes
2025.80
now 9
19
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Blake Dunn
.0007
now 2
5
Nathan Lukes
.0007
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighBlake Dunn — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.65
SellNathan Lukes — sell.conf 0.58
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