MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Blake Dunn
Blake Dunn
CIN · CF
Change to
Kerry Carpenter
DET · RF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Blake Dunn.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — runs, steals, and average. Kerry Carpenter’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Blake Dunn wins 3 categories (R, SB, AVG); Kerry Carpenter wins 2 (HR, RBI).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Blake Dunn
89.2
Kerry Carpenter
89.8
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Blake Dunn
30.3%
Kerry Carpenter
44.0%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Blake Dunn
2.7%
Kerry Carpenter
9.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Blake Dunn
28.7%
Kerry Carpenter
36.3%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Blake Dunn
10.9%
Kerry Carpenter
14.4%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Blake Dunn
.280
Kerry Carpenter
.295
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Blake Dunn
.200.310
lg AVG .295
now .269
.235
Kerry Carpenter
.200.310
lg AVG .295
now .239
.169

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Blake Dunn
59.80
now 1
0
Kerry Carpenter
59.80
now 7
1
Runshigher is better
Blake Dunn
2015.60
now 10
5
Kerry Carpenter
2015.60
now 12
3
RBIhigher is better
Blake Dunn
2026.20
now 2
1
Kerry Carpenter
2026.20
now 19
6
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Blake Dunn
.0003.20
now 2
1
Kerry Carpenter
.0003.20
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighBlake Dunn — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.65
SellKerry Carpenter — sell.conf 0.59
Tweet