Rest of Season Projection
AdolisCategoryBlake
12HR ←5
25R →35
22RBI ←7
3SB →7
.223AVG →.249
Current Season
AdolisCategoryBlake
4HR ←1
17R ←10
15RBI ←2
2SB2
.191AVG →.269
What Each Player's System Trusts
Adolis García
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.298 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
Blake Dunn
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.381 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.283 is 0.070 below the surface — regression coming
Adolis García: 12 HR / 25 R. Blake Dunn: 5 HR / 35 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).