MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · June 30, 2026
Portrait of Justin Crawford
Justin Crawford
PHI · CF
Change to
Matt Shaw
CHC · RF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Justin Crawford wins 2 (SB, AVG); Matt Shaw wins 2 (HR, RBI); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Justin Crawford
87.0
Matt Shaw
86.8
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Justin Crawford
34.3%
Matt Shaw
36.2%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Justin Crawford
1.1%
Matt Shaw
4.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Justin Crawford
38.8%
Matt Shaw
35.6%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Justin Crawford
10.6%
Matt Shaw
9.3%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Justin Crawford
.268
Matt Shaw
.301
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Justin Crawford
.220.250
lg AVG .295
now .234
.235
Matt Shaw
.220.250
lg AVG .295
now .240
.231

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Justin Crawford
55.20
now 2
2
Matt Shaw
55.20
now 3
4
Runshigher is better
Justin Crawford
2021.20
now 14
18
Matt Shaw
2021.20
now 10
18
RBIhigher is better
Justin Crawford
2026
now 12
15
Matt Shaw
2026
now 12
22
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Justin Crawford
.60011.40
now 7
9
Matt Shaw
.60011.40
now 3
5
If you already own them — trade angle
SellJustin Crawford — sell.conf 0.64
Hold · wait & seeMatt Shaw — hold.conf 0.50
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