Rest of Season Projection
KerryCategoryMatt
10HR ←5
24R ←22
38RBI ←26
0SB →7
.190AVG →.241
Current Season
KerryCategoryMatt
7HR ←3
12R ←10
19RBI ←12
0SB →3
.239AVG.240
What Each Player's System Trusts
Kerry Carpenter
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.311)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Matt Shaw
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.300)
Kerry Carpenter: 10 HR / 24 R. Matt Shaw: 5 HR / 22 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).