Rest of Season Projection
AlexCategoryMatt
3HR →5
35R ←23
38RBI ←27
0SB →7
.239AVG.239
Current Season
AlexCategoryMatt
0HR →3
12R ←10
13RBI ←12
0SB →3
.290AVG ←.240
What Each Player's System Trusts
Alex Call
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.313 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.295 is 0.034 below the surface — regression coming
Matt Shaw
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.294)
Call: 3 HR / 35 R vs Shaw: 5 HR / 23 R. Call leads R by 12; Shaw edges HR by 2. Sell-high window for Call, hold Shaw.