MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · June 27, 2026
Matt Shaw
CHC · RF
Change to
Portrait of Victor Mesa Jr.
Victor Mesa Jr.
TB · RF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Victor Mesa Jr..

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, runs, and RBI. Matt Shaw’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Victor Mesa Jr. wins 3 categories (HR, R, RBI); Matt Shaw wins 2 (SB, AVG).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Matt Shaw
86.5
Victor Mesa Jr.
86.1
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Matt Shaw
35.3%
Victor Mesa Jr.
38.9%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Matt Shaw
4.9%
Victor Mesa Jr.
11.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Matt Shaw
35.7%
Victor Mesa Jr.
31.3%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Matt Shaw
9.3%
Victor Mesa Jr.
14.6%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Matt Shaw
.298
Victor Mesa Jr.
.347
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Matt Shaw
.200.250
lg AVG .295
now .240
.234
Victor Mesa Jr.
.200.250
lg AVG .295
now .211
.223

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Matt Shaw
58
now 3
4
Victor Mesa Jr.
58
now 1
6
Runshigher is better
Matt Shaw
2033.80
now 10
19
Victor Mesa Jr.
2033.80
now 3
25
RBIhigher is better
Matt Shaw
2033.80
now 12
23
Victor Mesa Jr.
2033.80
now 3
25
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Matt Shaw
.0008.40
now 3
6
Victor Mesa Jr.
.0008.40
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeMatt Shaw — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeVictor Mesa Jr. — hold.conf 0.50
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