106 PA · week 12
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Matt Shaw
data as of June 13, 2026·week 12
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.294); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 5AVG .239R 23RBI 27SB 7
Shaw is a hold — league average, nothing driving the needle.
ROS projects HR 3 YTD → 5 ROS, AVG .240 YTD → .239 ROS, R 10 YTD → 23 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %5.0%—−1.9% ▼vs his ~6.9% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.294)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo86.2 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−2.8 mphvs his norm —
80 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %35.0%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−5.0%vs his norm —
80 / 50 BBE
Barrel %5.0%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−3.0%vs his norm −1.9% ▼
80 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.294
lg avg .315 ▼−.021vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
106 / 160 PA
wOBA.298
lg avg .315 ▼−.017vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
106 / 200 PA
Strikeout %17.9%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−4.1%vs his norm —
106 / 60 PA
Walk %5.7%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−2.8%vs his norm —Walk % is below the ~8.5% league average — expect it to rise.
106 / 120 PA
BABIP.263
lg avg .295 ▼−.032vs his norm +.001 ▲BABIP is above his ~.262 norm — expect it to fall.
80 / 800 BIP
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 5.0%→6.4%signal5 HR — Barrel% 5.0% (signal) lifted to career ~6.9% → projected 6.4%.
BABIP 0.263→0.272 regressednoise.239 AVG — BABIP 0.263 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.273 (xBA 0.249) → 0.272.
on-base + lineup23 R — his run rate over ~238 projected PA.
slugging + lineup27 RBI — his RBI rate over ~238 projected PA.
run rate / role7 SB — his steal rate (3 in 43 G) over ~238 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.