MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Engraved portrait of Alex Call
181 PA · week 25
this weekSELL
last weekNO CALL

Alex Call

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
new call as of September 10, 2026
Sell stable xwOBA 0.281 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.62
ROSAVG .219HR 0R 5RBI 6SB 0

Call is a sell — weak contact, no luck excuse

His expected wOBA is .281, 34 points below the league average of .315, and 181 plate appearances is past the point where that number becomes reliable. The gap is not luck. His average exit velocity is 84.0 mph, five mph below league, and his hard-hit rate is 16.0% against a league average of 40.0%. A 1.7% barrel rate on 119 batted balls confirms the picture: he is not squaring the ball up. The plate discipline is fine — 18.8% strikeouts, 11.6% walks — but discipline without contact quality has a low ceiling, and his expected wOBA has been stepping down across the sample rather than stabilizing upward. There is no slump waiting to break. This is the level. Sell. A projected 0 HR / 5 R / 6 RBI / .219 AVG makes him a drop, deep-league streaming-only at best.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %1.7%−3.2%vs his ~4.9% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.281 below league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo84.0 mph
believable since May 3084.0 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph −5.0 mphvs his norm —
119 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %16.0%
16.0%*
lg avg 40.0% −24.0%vs his norm —
119 / 50 BBE
Barrel %1.7%
norm1.7%*
lg avg 8.0% −6.3%vs his norm −3.2%
119 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.281
.281*
lg avg .315 −.034vs his norm —
181 / 160 PA
wOBA.314
.314*
lg avg .315 −.001vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league averageexpect it to rise.
181 / 200 PA
Strikeout %18.8%
18.8%*
lg avg 22.0% −3.2%vs his norm —
181 / 60 PA
Walk %11.6%
11.6%*
lg avg 8.5% +3.1%vs his norm —
181 / 120 PA
BABIP.305
norm.305*
lg avg .295 +.010vs his norm +.013 BABIP is above his ~.291 normexpect it to fall.
119 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %7.7%
7.7%*
lg avg 11.0% −3.3%vs his norm —
181 / 50 PA
Chase %24.9%
24.9%*
lg avg 28.5% −3.6%vs his norm —
181 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 1.7%→3.7%signal0 HR — Barrel% 1.7% (signal) lifted to career ~4.9% → projected 3.7%.
BABIP 0.305→0.245 regressednoise.219 AVG — BABIP 0.305 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.234 (xBA 0.209) → 0.245.
on-base + lineup5 R — his run rate over ~32 projected PA.
slugging + lineup6 RBI — his RBI rate over ~32 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 29 G) over ~32 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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