75 PA · week 10
this weekSELL-HIGH
last weekNO CALL
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Alex Call
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10
Call is a sell-high — his BABIP is carrying the line.
His actual wOBA sits at .353, but the number inflating it is not reliable. His BABIP is .327, 32 points above league average, and BABIP needs around 800 balls in play to stabilize — he has 55. Strip that luck out and his expected wOBA drops to .303, 50 points below the surface. The contact quality does not support the line: his average exit velocity is 84.5 mph (4.5 mph below league) and his hard-hit rate is 18.2%, less than half the league average. His strikeout rate is excellent — 10.7% — but that alone cannot sustain the current line. The skill here is below league, and the market is paying for the bounces. Sell high.
Sell High
med0.68
Drivers
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.327 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.303 is 0.050 below the surface — regression coming
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo84.5 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−4.5 mphtrustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL55 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %18.2%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−21.8%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL55 / 50 BBE
Barrel %1.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−6.2%too early to trust
NOISE55 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.303
lg avg .315 ▼−.012too early to trust
NOISE75 / 160 PA
wOBA.353
lg avg .315 ▲+.038too early to trust
NOISE75 / 200 PA
Strikeout %10.7%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−11.3%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL75 / 60 PA
Walk %14.7%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+6.2%too early to trust
NOISE75 / 120 PA
BABIP.327
lg avg .295 ▲+.032too early to trust
NOISE55 / 800 BIP