MLB Daily DeltaWeek 31 · October 26, 2026
Engraved portrait of Alex Call
195 PA · week 31
this weekSELL
last weekNO CALL

Alex Call

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
new call as of October 26, 2026
Sell stable xwOBA 0.277 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.63
ROSAVG .000HR 0R 0RBI 0SB 0

Call is a sell — the contact is soft and the sample is real.

He is averaging 83.6 mph off the bat, more than five mph below the league average of 89.0, and that number is based on 130 batted balls — well past the 50 it takes to become reliable. The rest of his contact profile matches: a 16.2% hard-hit rate against a league average of 40.0%, and 2.3% barrels against 8.0%. His expected wOBA is .277, .038 below the league average, and his expected wOBA has been stepping down across the sample rather than climbing toward it. He does make contact — a 17.9% strikeout rate and a 7.3% swinging-strike rate both beat league — but making contact with pitches he cannot drive is not a skill worth paying for. Nothing here is unlucky. The line is the level. Sell. 0 HR / 0 R / 0 RBI / 0 SB / .000 AVG on the ROS line makes him waiver-wire fodder — a drop, not a hold.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %2.3%—−2.6% ▼vs his ~4.9% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.277 below league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo83.6 mph
believable since May 3083.6 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−5.4 mphvs his norm —
130 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %16.2%
16.2%*
lg avg 40.0% ▼−23.8%vs his norm —
130 / 50 BBE
Barrel %2.3%
norm2.3%*
lg avg 8.0% ▼−5.7%vs his norm −2.6% ▼
130 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.277
.277*
lg avg .315 ▼−.038vs his norm —
195 / 160 PA
wOBA.305
.305*
lg avg .315 ▼−.010vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
195 / 200 PA
Strikeout %17.9%
17.9%*
lg avg 22.0% ▼−4.1%vs his norm —
195 / 60 PA
Walk %11.8%
11.8%*
lg avg 8.5% ▲+3.3%vs his norm —
195 / 120 PA
BABIP.287
norm.287*
lg avg .295 ▼−.008vs his norm −.004 ▼BABIP is below his ~.291 norm — expect it to rise.
130 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %7.3%
7.3%*
lg avg 11.0% ▼−3.7%vs his norm —
195 / 50 PA
Chase %24.3%
24.3%*
lg avg 28.5% ▼−4.2%vs his norm —
195 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 2.3%→3.9%signal0 HR — Barrel% 2.3% (signal) lifted to career ~4.9% → projected 3.9%.
BABIP 0.287→0.239 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.287 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.230 (xBA 0.202) → 0.239.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 29 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

Tweet
Compare with

Comparisons

head-to-head matchups