LAD

xERA 2.68 backed by 31% Ks, despite 13.5% walks

100.7 mph heat, 2.47 xERA backs the strikeouts.

32.7% K rate with 96.9 mph heat and 3.03 xERA

96.8 mph heat, 30% Ks, 4.4% walks — nothing fluky in the 2.72 ERA.

xERA 2.88 vs 3.53 ERA — 34% Ks hide the gap.

28% K rate backs the 3.52 xERA, not the 3.20.

28% strikeouts, 3.57 xERA — the 4.57 ERA is noise.

52% hard-hit and 16% barrels dwarf the league; xwOBA .397 backs it

xwOBA .389 with 12.4% barrels — catcher's bat is real

xwOBA .363 beats wOBA by 15 points — bat still carries

12.9% barrels and .349 xwOBA carry the profile.

xwOBA .343 backed by 42% hard-hit, not luck.

11% strikeout rate with .339 xwOBA is a stabilized floor.

11.9% barrels carry the profile; strikeouts the only drag

44.8% hard-hit and 10.6% barrels fuel the .332 xwOBA

3.66 ERA hides a 4.54 xERA; low BABIP won't save it

3.76 ERA hides a 4.21 xERA and 11.5% walks

BABIP-against .217 won't hold; xERA 2.94 still elite

15.5% strikeout rate can't hide behind a .250 BABIP.

83.6 mph exit velo, 16% hard-hit — contact can't survive

27.5% strikeouts, 6.2% barrels — the swing can't back the line.