week 10
this weekSELL-HIGH
last weekSELL-HIGH
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Yoshinobu Yamamoto
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10
Yamamoto is a sell-high — BABIP luck props up his ERA.
Surface ERA flattered by an unsustainably low BABIP-against; xERA says regression. Sell high.
Sell High
high0.95
Drivers
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.259 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.65 is 0.79 above the ERA — regression coming
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed39.3%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−0.7%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL183 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed7.7%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.3%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL183 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.303
lg avg .315 ▼−.012trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL270 / 200 TBF
xERA3.65
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.45trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL270 / 200 TBF
ERA2.86
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.24too early to trust
NOISE69.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %25.6%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+3.6%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL270 / 70 TBF
Walk %5.6%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.4%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL270 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.259
lg avg .295 ▼−.036too early to trust
NOISE183 / 800 BIP