Rest of Season Projection
ChrisCategoryYoshinobu
128K ←112
3.32ERA ←3.37
1.15WHIP →1.12
8–18W ←5–11
0SV0
Current Season
ChrisCategoryYoshinobu
80K ←69
2.01ERA ←2.86
0.94WHIP ←1.00
8W ←5
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chris Sale
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 3.32, 0.78 below league — production is earned
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.240 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.37 is 0.69 above the ERA — regression coming
Chris Sale: 128 K / 3.32 ERA. Yoshinobu Yamamoto: 112 K / 3.37 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).