Rest of Season Projection
ChrisCategoryDrew
136K ←99
3.18ERA ←3.30
1.11WHIP ←1.16
9–19W ←5–10
0SV0
Current Season
ChrisCategoryDrew
80K ←55
2.01ERA ←3.36
0.94WHIP ←1.02
8W ←4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chris Sale
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.258 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.18 is 1.16 above the ERA — regression coming
Drew Rasmussen
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 3.30, 0.80 below league — production is earned
Sale's 136 K outpaces Rasmussen's 99, but the ERA gap is tight (3.18 vs 3.30). Sell high on Sale; buy Rasmussen's stable skills.