Is Drew Rasmussen a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Buy — stable, above-average metrics signal genuine skill. Good ROS add target.

What is Drew Rasmussen's rest-of-season outlook?

96 mph velo and 4% walks — elite control.

week 17

this weekBUY

last weekSELL-HIGH

Drew Rasmussen

TB·P

data as of July 18, 2026·week 17

flipped from SELL-HIGH on July 18, 2026

Buy stable xERA 3.26, 0.84 below league, production is earned; velocity stable and above league; add now.high 0.85

ROSK 51ERA 3.26WHIP 1.08W 2–5SV 0

Rasmussen is a buy — elite skill, no luck, and improving.

His xERA is 3.26, 0.84 below league, with enough batters faced to trust it. That number is trending down — he is getting better. He strikes out a quarter of batters while walking only 4.3%, both well clear of average. The fastball velocity is climbing, sitting at 96.0 mph against a league of 94.0, and his hard-hit rate allowed is a full six points below league. The skill is real and the trajectory is improving. Buy. The 51 K, 3.26 ERA line backs a proven asset: buy now before the window closes.

VS His Norm

Walk %4.3%—−2.0% ▼vs his ~6.3% career norm
Strikeout %25.0%—+1.7% ▲vs his ~23.3% career norm

Drivers

xeraSIGNALstable xERA 3.26, 0.84 below league — production is earned
p_fastball_veloSIGNALvelocity stable and above league

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Hard-Hit % Allowed33.8%

lg avg 40.0% ▼−6.2%vs his norm —

272 / 50 BBE

Barrel % Allowed6.6%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.4%vs his norm —

272 / 60 BBE

xwOBA Allowed.282

lg avg .315 ▼−.033vs his norm —

392 / 200 TBF

xERA3.26

lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.84vs his norm —

392 / 200 TBF

ERA3.26

lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.84vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.

99.3 / 200 IP

Strikeout %25.0%

lg avg 22.0% ▲+3.0%vs his norm +1.7% ▲

392 / 70 TBF

Walk %4.3%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−3.7%vs his norm −2.0% ▼

392 / 170 TBF

BABIP Against.250

lg avg .295 ▼−.045vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.

272 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %12.2%

lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.2%vs his norm —

392 / 60 TBF

Chase %33.0%

lg avg 28.5% ▲+4.5%vs his norm —

392 / 60 TBF

Fastball Velo96.0 mph

lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+2.0 mphvs his norm —

1544 / 50 PITCHES

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

K% 25.0%→24.4%signal51 K — K% 25.0% (signal) tempered to career ~23.3% → projected 24.4% over ~56 remaining…

xERA 3.26signal3.26 ERA — regresses up toward xERA 3.26 (signal): elite skill, but overperforming even…

BB% 4.3% + contactsignal1.08 WHIP — a 4% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.280 gives a 1.08 skill WHIP.

run support + role2-5 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.

role (starter)0 SV — role: starter, not in the save mix.

rosterstandard51 K ROS, 3.26 ERA

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons