week 10
this weekBUY
last weekSELL-HIGH
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Drew Rasmussen
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10
Rasmussen is a buy — his xERA is 3.30 and he earns it.
His expected ERA sits at 3.30, 0.80 below league average, and he has faced enough batters for that number to be reliable. His actual results track the skill: he suppresses hard contact at a 33.3% rate against a 40.0% league average, walks just 5.1% of hitters, and strikes out slightly above league average. The xERA has been stepping down across the sample, tightening the gap between what the box score shows and the underlying talent. No luck stat is inflating the line; his BABIP-against is unremarkable. The skill is real and the sample backs it up. Buy.
Buy
high0.84
Drivers
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 3.30, 0.80 below league — production is earned
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed33.3%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−6.7%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL168 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed7.7%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.3%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL168 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.289
lg avg .315 ▼−.026trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL236 / 200 TBF
xERA3.30
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.80trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL236 / 200 TBF
ERA3.36
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.74too early to trust
NOISE59 / 200 IP
Strikeout %23.3%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+1.3%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL236 / 70 TBF
Walk %5.1%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.9%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL236 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.250
lg avg .295 ▼−.045too early to trust
NOISE168 / 800 BIP