MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 24, 2026
Portrait of Drew Rasmussen
Drew Rasmussen
TB · P
Change to
Portrait of Jesús Luzardo
Jesús Luzardo
PHI · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Jesús Luzardo.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and ERA. Drew Rasmussen’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Jesús Luzardo wins 2 categories (K, ERA); Drew Rasmussen wins 1 (WHIP); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Drew Rasmussen
96.0
Jesús Luzardo
97.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Drew Rasmussen
12.1%
Jesús Luzardo
14.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Drew Rasmussen
24.8%
Jesús Luzardo
29.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Drew Rasmussen
33.5%
Jesús Luzardo
33.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Drew Rasmussen
33.9%
Jesús Luzardo
30.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Drew Rasmussen
6.9%
Jesús Luzardo
5.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Drew Rasmussen
.284
Jesús Luzardo
.266
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Drew Rasmussen
2.354.86
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.36
3.34
Jesús Luzardo
2.354.86
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.30
2.91
WHIPlower is better
Drew Rasmussen
.9001.43
now 1.02
1.09
Jesús Luzardo
.9001.43
now 1.31
1.23

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Drew Rasmussen
4090.40
now 55
47
Jesús Luzardo
4090.40
now 78
60
Winshigher is better
Drew Rasmussen
.8006.20
now 4
25
Jesús Luzardo
.8006.20
now 4
24

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyDrew Rasmussen — buy.conf 0.83
Buy LowJesús Luzardo — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.76
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