MLB Daily DeltaWeek 31 · October 26, 2026
Portrait of Jesús Luzardo
Jesús Luzardo
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Payton Tolle
Payton Tolle
BOS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Jesús Luzardo wins 1 (WHIP); Payton Tolle wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Jesús Luzardo
96.8
Payton Tolle
96.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Jesús Luzardo
14.8%
Payton Tolle
15.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Jesús Luzardo
30.3%
Payton Tolle
28.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Jesús Luzardo
33.7%
Payton Tolle
36.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Jesús Luzardo
33.2%
Payton Tolle
34.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Jesús Luzardo
5.8%
Payton Tolle
6.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Jesús Luzardo
.261
Payton Tolle
.255
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Jesús Luzardo
24.98
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.30
2.83
Payton Tolle
24.98
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.61
2.70
WHIPlower is better
Jesús Luzardo
.9001.47
now 1.31
1.16
Payton Tolle
.9001.47
now 0.90
1.17

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Jesús Luzardo
40109.20
now 78
0
Payton Tolle
40109.20
now 46
0
Winshigher is better
Jesús Luzardo
.0005.60
now 4
0–0
Payton Tolle
.0005.60
now 2
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyJesús Luzardo — buy.conf 0.92
BuyPayton Tolle — buy.conf 0.92
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