MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · June 27, 2026
Portrait of Jesús Luzardo
Jesús Luzardo
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Payton Tolle
Payton Tolle
BOS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Jesús Luzardo wins 2 (K, W); Payton Tolle wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Jesús Luzardo
97.1
Payton Tolle
96.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Jesús Luzardo
14.5%
Payton Tolle
13.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Jesús Luzardo
28.1%
Payton Tolle
23.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Jesús Luzardo
33.5%
Payton Tolle
33.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Jesús Luzardo
30.4%
Payton Tolle
34.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Jesús Luzardo
6.1%
Payton Tolle
6.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Jesús Luzardo
.283
Payton Tolle
.269
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Jesús Luzardo
24.98
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.30
3.24
Payton Tolle
24.98
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.61
2.92
WHIPlower is better
Jesús Luzardo
.9001.47
now 1.31
1.28
Payton Tolle
.9001.47
now 0.90
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Jesús Luzardo
40111.80
now 78
93
Payton Tolle
40111.80
now 46
87
Winshigher is better
Jesús Luzardo
.0009
now 4
37
Payton Tolle
.0009
now 2
25

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowJesús Luzardo — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
BuyPayton Tolle — buy.conf 0.92
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